The US single family mortgage TAM for originations in 2025, including 1st and 2nd mortgage and home equity lines of credit is estimated to be ~7.4 million loans.
Appraiser direct engagement is where lenders or authorized third-party entities work directly with licensed appraisers to perform property appraisals for mortgage transactions.
The number of inspection based appraisal waivers used by GSE sellers in 2024 was 40K (2.0%) compared to 24K (1.3%) in 2023, a jump of 66.4%.
Fannie Mae and MBA forecast refinance activity 30-40% higher and purchase loans 5-8% higher in 2025, compared to 2024.
Lenders delivered $1.12BN (1.65%) with inspection based waivers in November, up 2.7% on October, and surpassing $1BN in monthly issuance for the second consecutive month.
In October, Fannie Mae and MBA increased 2025 estimates by ~600,000 loans. With the November release, these increases have effectively been reversed.
Lenders delivered $1.09BN (1.64%) with inspection based waivers in October, up 32.1% on September, and surpassing $1BN in monthly issuance for the first time.
This week, FHFA announced expansion of the appraisal alternatives for primary residence & second home purchase loans – with inspection based waivers now offered up-to 97% CLTV.
In a month where GSE issuance was down across-the-board, it is noteworthy that the correspondent channel delivered their largest single month of inspection based waivers since both GSE solutions became fully operational, with 19.1% of total issuance.
Fannie Mae and MBA published their latest housing finance forecast for September 2024 this week providing estimates of the quarterly purchase and refinance origination volumes for 1st lien, closed-end, single family mortgages in 2024 and 2025. MBA is now forecasting the number of loan originations to be 8.9% and 10.9% higher than Fannie Mae for…